Oh my, how the world can change in just a few short days, and we aren’t talking about hurricanes. Under terms of its merger agreement with Beverly Enterprises, North American Senior Care (NASC) was supposed to deposit additional funds with Beverly, to bring the total deposit to $60 million, by 5:00 pm last Thursday, September 22. The funds did not show up, with NASC acknowledging that they had not been able to secure their full equity funding, despite having the debt commitments in place. In the days leading to September 22, we had heard some rumblings that the buyer was having difficulty with the equity commitments, securing perhaps only one-half of the amount needed, and that Rubin Schron had withdrawn as an equity participant, but could not verify how solid the information was. We should have more trust in our sources.
We hear that some investor reticence was a result of the bad publicity regarding litigation at Mariner Health over some unpaid bills, as well as issues brought up by Arkansas State Representative Stephen Bright. While we do not know if this is the case, it would seem to be an area of concern. Apparently, Beverly’s management still wants to move ahead with NASC, giving the buyer an additional 60 days to secure its equity funding, and the full $60 million deposit. What did Beverly get in return? Just $3 million, bringing to $10 million on deposit, plus the right to reopen discussions with any other bidders who may offer a “superior proposal,” without having to pay the notorious termination fee to NASC under certain circumstances. The “superior proposal” does not necessarily have to be at $13.00 per share or higher, and could include an offer with more realistic chances of closing in the near term. The $12.90 per share offer with equity and debt commitments in place from Formation Capital comes to mind, but we doubt Beverly CEO Bill Floyd is in a hurry to make that call. But then again, maybe we will be surprised.
All of this may not be good news for investors, who thought they would be receiving $13.00 in cash for their shares by January, or February at the latest. Beverly’s share price has already dropped down to $12.25 per share, so investors (the arbs) are probably discounting the additional time to close from the price, but they also may be anticipating a slightly lower price as well. What happens if NASC can get the additional equity, but only at a lower price per share? What happens if Formation Capital is back in the hunt, but at $12.75 per share, and with the commitments in place today? In that case, the only ones with egg on their face would be Beverly’s board and its advisors, together with a few investor lawsuits. Buyers must spend a lot of time and money on due diligence on the seller and its assets, but in this case the Beverly board and its outside advisors can be faulted for perhaps not doing sufficient due diligence themselves on the buyers, without the necessary knowledge to be in a position to back the horse with the best ability to close, and with the least amount of issues that could be raised about past performance. Of course, hindsight is 20-20, but it is also possible that a little bit of the ABA syndrome, or “Anyone But Arnie,” was involved, at least in the executive suite.
Although unlikely, it is also possible that someone could come in at just over $13.00 per share, now that the $40 million termination fee payable to NASC has been suspended under certain circumstances. Shareholders would like that, especially the one who paid $13.44 per share in August, but the talk around the Street now is the total amount of severance, change-in-control and retention bonuses that will be paid out to the Beverly management team. We had estimated the number to be worth in the range of 50 cents to $1.00 per share (or about $50 million to $100 million), but the current buzz is that it is between $100 million and $150 million, a level that could spell litigation. We don’t know what the real number is, but now that there is some acrimony in Arkansas, people are beginning to wonder just whose interests Beverly’s management is serving.
We thought we were done blogging about the Beverly deal when the $13.00 per share offer was accepted and Formation withdrew. Somehow, we expect more news will fill these pages in the coming weeks.
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